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role-labeled games in disjoint time splits."},"blk":{"enabled":false,"strength":0,"prior_minutes":1000,"heldout_pass":false,"train_games":13,"validation_games":9,"test_games":15,"supported_test_games":0,"reason":"Insufficient strict observed, role-labeled games in disjoint time splits."},"tov":{"enabled":false,"strength":0,"prior_minutes":1000,"heldout_pass":false,"train_games":13,"validation_games":9,"test_games":15,"supported_test_games":0,"reason":"Insufficient strict observed, role-labeled games in disjoint time splits."}},"improvement_claim":"No validated improvement established. All numerical OVR effects remain neutral.","methodology":"Strict pregame box-observation and role-observation cutoffs; identical player-games. Earliest 60% of dates train, next 20% validation, last 20% held out. At least 30 games with supported effects in each split per metric. Training-only strength/prior selection; validation/test MAE and RMSE gates; game-cluster paired 97.5% bootstrap upper bound must be negative. No future-label backfill. Simulations never enter genuine performance.","input_hash":"37976a38e51f0c7388b0997a461302891bc5f03529921404ce2c3076b25eabed"}